Update from the Saker
Ukraine SITREP 26th January
26
January, 2015
I
have been trying to wait as long as possible to get some facts
confirmed, but at this point in time I am confident enough to say
that there are numerous and convergent signs that things are going
extremely badly for the Kiev junta. Just look at the following recent
headlines:
Clearly,
things are not going well *at all* for the Junta.
Concerning Debaltsevo and the rumors that the Junta forces were encircled in another "cauldron", they are probably a little premature. However, even if the Junta forces have not been fully encircled *yet*, there is strong evidence that they are indeed in the process of being encircled and many reports even speak of panic. However, the Junta has kept numerically large forces north of Donetsk and we should not dismiss them. By all accounts, the Junta forces are trying hard to break the Novorussian noose around Debaltsevo and they are also trying to recapture the Donetsk airport.
Here are two SITREPS translated by the great Kazzura which I find interesting:
Prime Minister Zakharchenko
Concerning Debaltsevo and the rumors that the Junta forces were encircled in another "cauldron", they are probably a little premature. However, even if the Junta forces have not been fully encircled *yet*, there is strong evidence that they are indeed in the process of being encircled and many reports even speak of panic. However, the Junta has kept numerically large forces north of Donetsk and we should not dismiss them. By all accounts, the Junta forces are trying hard to break the Novorussian noose around Debaltsevo and they are also trying to recapture the Donetsk airport.
Here are two SITREPS translated by the great Kazzura which I find interesting:
Prime Minister Zakharchenko
Corps commander Eduard Basurin
I
am generally weary of triumphalism and I always get nervous when I
see somebody underestimating the enemy. Most importantly, we should
remember that while the Junta seems to be suffering major military
losses, it still has two options available a false flag operation and
declare war with Russia.
Option
one: false flag
The
worse the Junta's military defeats, the higher the risk of a major
false flag. Keep in mind that the Nazi Junta despises the east
Ukrainian which it considers as "bugs", "insects"
and "subhumans" which should be barbecued and that it will
have no pity for its own forces if they are defeated or, worse,
disloyal. And remember the Nazi slogan about Crimea: "the
Crimea will be Ukrainian or empty". We have to assume that the
Nazi freaks in Kiev are capable of anything and, having already shot
down a civilian airliner, I would not put it past them to sabotage a
nuclear plant or some other very high risk target.
Option
two: declare with with Russia
Notice,
I did not say war "on Russia" because that would make the
Junta the aggressor. But the Rada is quite capable tomorrow of
declaring Russia an "aggressor state". And if that is not
enough, Kiev is absolutely capable of striking (at least a few times)
anywhere along the Russian-Ukrainian border (including in Crimea) in
order to pull Russia in. Even if Russia does not take the bait and
simply rides out the strikes, or if Russia responds with a very
minimal amount of force, Kiev will continue to declare the
"thousands" of Russian troops have invaded and that Russian
"tactical battalion groups" are operating all along the
line of contact. There is no way that Kiev will ever admit that its
forces have been defeated by local Novorussian resistance fighters.
In other words, any defeat of the Junta forces will always be
presented as a "Russian aggression against the European choice
of the free Ukrainian nation".
Folks
like Yatseniuk or Turchinov will never just flee like Yanukovich did
- before they do that, they will make darn sure to destroy as much of
the Ukraine as possible and that happens to be exactly the US plan
to: if Uncle Sam cannot have it, neither will anybody else.
This
one is far from over
I
therefore caution everybody against any premature triumphalism. It
ain't over and it won't be over anytime soon. Even if the
Novorussians comprehensively defeat the Junta forces (again!), this
will not push their attack very far beyond the current frontlines
(they just don't have the manpower for that). So don't expect the
Novorussians to free Kiev and overthrown the Junta. That is
something only the Ukrainian people themselves can do, and right now
they are nowhere near that kind of outcome.
Things
to look very, very bad for Kiev and the current tactical difficulties
faced by the Junta might well result in an operational level
collapse. At which point we can expect all sides except the
Novorussians to try to revive some kind of stale and futile "peace
process" which the Novorussians will have to accept, except that
this time around Russia will probably make more demands then the
first time around. Now that Putin has declared that the Junta's army
what just "NATO's legion" the mood in Moscow is rather dark
and the disgust with Poroshenko and all his lies very wide-spread.
So even if Russia accepts another cease-fire, the Junta will have to
pay a price for its failed assault. I think that the loss of
Mariupol might be one of the conditions demanded by Russia (at least
I hope so).
What
about the imperial "Axis of Kindness"?
The
Empire is in full combat mode. After George Soros, the US Commander
of NATO ground forces has visited Kiev and the western credit rating
agencies have further downgraded Russia even though every single
objective economic indicator says otherwise. Things are a tad more
complicated in Europe were the victory of Syriza in Greece will
create a major risk for the future of the EU. Sure, Merkel is more
then willing to do the USA's bidding, but her popularity suffers from
it and tensions between the EU plutocrats and the European people are
only on the rise. In France the entire Charlie Hebdo psyop has
resulted in a chaotic and most volatile situation, the Polish
nonsense about Auschwitz being liberated by Ukrainians has damaged
the credibility of the russophobic camp and the awareness that the
Kiev Junta and its supporters are bona fide Nazis is slowly but
inexorably growing everywhere.
As
Lincoln is supposed to have said "you can fool all the people
some of the time, and some of the people all the time, but you cannot
fool all the people all the time". Time is running out for the
Nazi freaks in Kiev.
The
Saker
26.01.2015 Military Report of Novorossia
Putin offers shelter to Ukrainian men
President
Vladimir Putin believes that the length of stay of the citizens of
Ukraine, first of all, of military age, in Russia can be increased.
http://fortruss.blogspot.co.nz/2015/01/putin-offers-shelter-to-ukrainian-men.html
"By the way, many people already avoid mobilization, try to move to Russia, to wait it out here for a while. And rightly so, because they are just being pushed there as cannon fodder, under the bullets," - said Putin during a meeting with students at National Mineral Resources University.
However,
the head of the state noted that the length of stay of the citizens
of Ukraine on the territory of Russia is restricted by law, according
to RIA Novosti.
"In
accordance with the new law, citizens of Ukraine can not stay on the
territory of the Russian Federation for more than 30 days. They go
back, and they are grabbed! And again, sent there, under the bullets.
So we will probably change something here, " - said Putin. "In
the framework of the law we can increase the length of stay of
certain categories of persons, primarily of military age".
Translators
Note:
This
idea has been floated in the Russian media, and looks like Putin took
notice. This is an excellent peaceful measure which can cool the
Ukrainian war effort, and a step towards peace. Not to mention, it
would save the lives of these young men. And although Ukraine may
replace these men with American or NATO contractors, it is the right
decision.
Russians
and Ukrainians are one people. Their ties go beyond business, a great
number of residents of both countries are family. This has been a
great resource for both Donbass refugees, Ukrainian men running from
mobilization, and even residents of Central and Western Ukraine hit
by the economic crisis. No matter how hard America tries, it will not
succeed in the long run in splitting up Russia and Ukraine, tied by
common destiny.
"And then everything will go in accordance with the plan. The plan, of course, is a military secret."--Zakharchenko
1/26/2015
Translated
from Russian by J.Hawk
“Combat
operations are continuing practically on the entire DPR territory. We
are attempting to unite our forces with LPR, hoping this will happen
in the near future. By doing so we will even out the frontline. And
then everything will go in accordance with the plan. The plan, of
course, is a military secret. Enemy’s losses only on the southern
sector included 4 tanks, 2 BMPs, and up to one infantry company. It
is difficult to estimate enemy personnel losses, because we were
conducting an artillery duel and the enemy was able to evacuate the
corpses and the wounded. But three burned out KamAZ trucks means, at
a minimum, 60 killed. Our data indicates the Ukrainian army lost on
DPR territory between 13 and 19 February 962 killed, over 1200
wounded, 456 missing. These numbers were obtained through radio
intercepts.”
UAF generals are escaping the "Donbass ship", ATO command "is not available"
|
Yesterday
the only UAF lifeline to Debaltsevo was already under NAF fire,
today more reports confirm it's over
|
Translated by Kristina Rus
Mothers of Ukraine, save your sons: UAF generals are running from Donbass, leaving the soldiers behind
The field headquarters of the Ukrainian security forces, formed in the area of the ATO, are escaping and abandoning their troops, according to the Committee of the Military Mothers of Ukraine as of January 25, 2015.
"Due to the threat of further advance of the militants, UAF Operational Headquarters deployed in Kramatorsk is urgently preparing for evacuation. In addition, operational groups of the General staff hastily left the combat area in Debaltsevo. Commanders complain that they can not get in touch with the command in Kiev and personally with the commander [of the ATO] Muzhenko. To prevent the escape of soldiers from the battlefield in Debaltsevo cauldron, "zagradotriady" [ideologically filtered army police] from the volunteer battalions, arrived to the area."
UAF generals are going to throw ordinary soldiers to slaughter. For the pictures in the Western media. Mothers of Ukraine, save your sons!
Debaltsevo cauldron is a reality [with 7,500 Ukrainian soldiers].
It will be worse then the Ilovaisk cauldron. It will be an invisible death from the sky - "grads", artillery and fire. The Army of Novorossia has THREE times more artillery systems than in the summer of 2014.
Even now the losses of UAF are terrifying.
After Ukrainian army killed civilians, women and children in Donetsk, Gorlovka, the Army of Novorossia will not have mercy.
For Vanya [#jesuisVanya]!
 |
|
Vania
before with his brother Tima, killed by Ukrainian shelling, and
after without two eyes, two legs and one arm
|
P.S. Moms of Ukraine, save your sons. Death came for them in Debaltsevo!
P. P. S. Asking for maximum repost.
26.01.2015 Ukrainian crisis news. Latest news of Ukraine, DPR, Kiev, Mariupol
“Right now the main news is the Debaltsevo pocket. The offensive is continuing."--Strelkov Update
1/26/2015
Translated
from Russian by J.Hawk
“Right
now the main news is the Debaltsevo pocket. The offensive is
continuing. This thought is animating everyone. Heavy fighting on
the Bakhmutka, our forces launched an attack here after repelling a
Ukrainian attack yesterday. We launched an attack on Nizhnee from
Novotoshkovka, and Krymskoye from the 29th and
31st checkpoints. We have cleared Zhelobok, took many
prisoners. We are fighting for every meter of Popasnaya, the
fighting is in its second day. Ukrainians stopped receiving
reinforcements, while we were able to conduct a rotation
which means the fighting has regained its intensity. Ukrainians
tried to use their reserves to retake Krasnyy Pakhar but the attack
failed. Militia in Novogriorevka (north of Debaltsevo) attacked
Ukrainian forces in Logvinovo, but the Ukrainian positions held.
The capture of Logvinovo, which sits on the road between Debaltsevo
and Artemovsk, will cut off Ukrainian forces from its supplies, and
divide the pocket into two parts which will greatly worsen their
situation.”
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