Investors
Fear More than Just a ‘Fiscal Cliff’
Rick
Ackerman
8
November, 2012
The
Dow plunged 313 points yesterday, but don’t believe news media
reports that it was the nearness of the “fiscal cliff” that
caused the selloff. What spooked investors is a bigger picture that
recognizes the economically catastrophic implications of a second
Obama term. To be clear, there is nothing Romney could have done to
avoid the deflationary Depression that lies ahead. However, a Romney
presidency might have at least served as a reality check, delaying
the onslaught of hard times for perhaps long enough to allow
Americans to put their financial houses in order before austerity
hits with the force of an earthquake, as it has in Europe.
We’re
not going to dwell on the choice Americans made on Tuesday. Suffice
it to say, the election has substantiated conservatives’ worst fear
– that, sooner or later, Big Government’s clients would come to
outnumber those of us who pay for the criminal extravagances of their
voracious welfare state. Actually, it turns out the drones needn’t
have outnumbered taxpayers, since the quirks of the electoral college
have enabled Romney’s 47% to execute a coup even though they lacked
a statistically significant majority.
Bread
and Circuses
Now,
with a $16+ trillion federal deficit that is growing by more than a
trillion dollars per year, the nation’s descent toward insolvency
can only accelerate, further widening the gap between tax revenues
and outlays. Soaking the rich, even by taxing them at 100%, would not
begin to arrest the decline, but just try to tell that to those who
voted for Obama. Bread and circuses will be their reward, and far be
it from us to predict that they will feel unsatisfied. Rather, the
opposite should hold true, since it will not have cost the 47% a
dime.
As
far as the stock market is concerned, we were quite surprised to find
some bullish opportunities in the dozen or so charts reviewed in real
time during a “Hidden Pivot Analysis” session held Wednesday
morning at Rick’s Picks. Amazon, Priceline and Facebook, among
others, look promising, suggesting these companies, and presumably a
few others, may be able to buck a depressionary tide, perhaps by
focusing on nickel-and-dime sources of revenue. If you’re
interested in the details, as well as the reasons for our bearish
outlook on the broad averages, a recording of the session will be
made publically available at Rick’s Picks next week.

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