The
Ultimate Visualization Of Australia's Housing Bubble
29
August, 2012
Will
Steve Keen be proven 'early' and correct? We suspect so; and the
following infographic from DebtConsolidation.com.au provides
some more compelling evidence of the growth of the Aussie housing
bubble and its geographical diversity (and
should you consider a trade on the back of this - Australian bank CDS
are trading near 12-month tights).
Source: DebtConsolidation.com.au
...and
for those thinking of a trade... Aussie Bank CDS (average)...
See
also this
Studying Economics at UWS
Prof. Steve Keen
29 August, 2012
I
gave the talk below last Sunday at UWS’s (University of Western Sydney) Open
Day, as an intoduction to economics for prospective university
students. Preparing it made me reflect on the great good fortune I
had to be appointed to UWS.
This
might evoke a “Huh?”
response from the usual suspects on such issues–why be pleased
about being appointed to a second-rate University (and in an
out-of-the-way place like Sydney to
boot)? It’s because the Economics
& Finance program at
UWS has been almost unique amongst economics departments around the
world in deliberately pursuing a “pluralist” approach to
economics.
We
decided a decade ago to teach a wide range of approaches to economics
in the one department. So we have core subjects in Micro and Macro
economics that teach the standard Neoclassical canon, subjects
like Political
Economy and
my own major subject Behavioural
Finance that
provide a distinctly different analysis, the foundational
subject History
of Economic Thought (which
I believe is vital for a proper understanding of economics today–and
a major reason why so few economists really understand economic
theory is that this subject has been abolished at almost all other
universities around the world), and a range of subjects such
as Government
and the Economy where
a non-standard approach is presented, along with conventional
Neoclassical thought on the topic.
This
could never have happened at an “Ivy League” University: the
gatekeepers of the subject would have fought vigorously to undermine
the program, which they would have seen as unprofessional–a topic
covered at length in a (yes, I’m
serious) Playboy
article recently.
That’s why places like UWS and the University
of Missouri Kansas City (UMKC) are
where non-Neoclassical work flourished over the last 20 years–the
mainstream ignored us.
For
me, it gave me an environment in which I could work on my dynamic
approach to economics, and apply that knowledge in my lectures, with
the backing of my Head of School. In other universities, I would not
have had the opportunity. I doubt that I could have been as
successful in developing my alternative approach if I hadn’t had
four consecutive supportive Heads of School, and many colleagues who
were also outside the mainstream themselves.
This
is an important point here for students considering where they might
study economics. Normally, the better the University, the better its
academic programs will be. But in economics, often the better the
University, the worse the economics program will be because it will
teach Neoclassical economics to the exclusion of all other
approaches.
Before
the world hit the economic wall in 2007, only renegade economists
like myself were aware of this, and students would happily sign
up to “Ivy League” Universities in preference to out-of-the-way
places like UWS and UMKC. Now that the global economy has fallen
into the debt crisis that Hyman
Minsky warned
could happen in a deregulated economy, the gamble that our
Departments took to not follow the beaten path is paying
dividends–both to the academics and their students. You’ll get a
broader, better education off the beaten track than you’ll get on
it–and your instructors will include people like me who saw the
financial crisis coming
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