tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2171175265245997391.post1243547720286923857..comments2024-03-02T23:32:19.314+13:00Comments on Seemorerocks: Counting down to the September ice minimum in the Arcticseemorerockshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09638172074263860001noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2171175265245997391.post-61496058703063535352016-09-08T16:30:59.206+12:002016-09-08T16:30:59.206+12:00The red-line is a nonsense. When the arctic is hal...The red-line is a nonsense. When the arctic is half ice-free, then half the heat is not being processed by it, but being passed to the rest of the planet. Sitting around waiting for some special event to happen, some magic number to be achieved 5 years in a row, ...Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05749325809390419469noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2171175265245997391.post-73243482716167414022016-09-08T05:39:16.177+12:002016-09-08T05:39:16.177+12:00One cannot help but hope that the geoengineering/s...One cannot help but hope that the geoengineering/solar radiation management elephant in the room will be exposed and acknowledged. How long has geoengineering been fully deployed? The attached article sheds more light. http://www.geoengineeringwatch.org/geoengineering-and-greenhouse-gases-the-toxic-tug-of-war/Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17465715792423124081noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2171175265245997391.post-7620148841314732932016-09-07T15:57:53.934+12:002016-09-07T15:57:53.934+12:00No one million square kilometers of ice extent thi...No one million square kilometers of ice extent this year. It was a "very, very dark, dark race horse" as a verse of one of my favourite George Harrison's songs goes. Probably not even a new record, 2012 will hold that. But 2016 was missing a probable key component of that which would most aid a record melt season. 2016 has come from behind and will probably come within a whisker of 2012 and 2012's perfect storm of sun at the right time. The amount of ice as determined by the agreed upon model, NISDC based on extent (and not area or volume) is will be still some 3 million square kilometers too much. <br /><br />But, there has never been so much open water so near to the north pole since Cro-Magnon has appeared, possibly any hominid. There has never been this much "brash" ice and so much rotten ice (as Wadhams and Barber from the University of Manitoba) would describe it). And although a few years back with the breakup of possibly 100,000 year old sea ice field from the north of Ellesmere Island just east of north-western Greenland was the foreshadow, this year was the fatal blow to the multi-year ice. Fatal, but not immediately, let us use a bloody analogy of peripheral veins cut open and no help is within reach. No, no help is anywhere within reach, that help would lie frozen (if anywhere) decades, maybe a century in the past. This is the proper time to mourn the passing of the arctic ice.<br /><br />Lest we forget, there is a new perturbation, nea, a stake through the arctic climate wheels that has caused spokes in its wheel(s) to crack or splinter. For in 2012 we had one, and now in 2016 we had several "Great Arctic Cyclones" to inject chaotic energy into a system with increasingly fragile ice at the "swan song" of the Arctic summer, a Black Swan song. The details of this new impact and the mechanisms of how it will damage the ice and how much damage will be done in the future will be very intensely studied in the next few years. <br /><br />Ah, the next few years, abandon all hope in yesterdays computer models. As Sandy and Hermine and the recent stuck in place rain deluges in northern India and Louisiana are outside the models of the past, so will the new arctic cyclones. It is not if but when they will become the norm and not GRRReat Arctic Cyclones (GAC). These cyclones make present day models moot. <br /><br /> Not that the models were accurate - they kept being 5 years behind the times playing catch up between the dogmatic conservatism of the IPCC and the de facto time scale of the scientific process - scientists have to converse and consense. But the models of various storms around the planet and the melting in the arctic have gone to mush, gruel, porridge and spoiled in the heat besides. <br /><br />Abandon all models. Set a course and follow your star. <br /><br />Oh, and by the way, they moved the rugby goals, 10, 20 meters out. It is starting to sound as if the IPCC is amending the definition of an "ice free arctic" to being 5 consecutive years of one million square kilometers of ice. paxmarkhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17665734426865962811noreply@blogger.com