Tuesday, 8 May 2018

Trump will announce decision on Iran deal TOMORROW

Trump Will Announce Iran Deal Decision At 2 PM Tuesday

Zero Hedge,
7 May, 2018

President Donald Trump tweeted Monday afternoon that he will be announcing his long-awaited decision on whether the US will be pulling out of the Iran deal tomorrow at 2 pm ET. The decision will be announced from the White House.

I will be announcing my decision on the Iran Deal tomorrow from the White House at 2:00pm.
As Bloomberg notes, Germany, France and the UK have lobbied Trump and his top aides to remain in the deal, which the president has frequently criticized. Trump has strongly hinted that he will withdraw from the agreement, and French President Emmanuel Macron said after meeting with Trump last month that he expects the US to exit the deal.

Additionally, Israel's Channel 10 news reports that it is not clear that European pressure will persuade Trump to maintain The Iran Accord.

There's been some speculation that Trump might continue pursuing negotiations even after ending the waiver on the US's sanctions against Iran, using the period before the most draconian sanctions kick back in as leverage to try and achieve restrictions on Iran's ballistic missile program.

The announcement triggered a "sell the news" reaction in oil, pushing WTI back below $70...

So much for John Kerry's "shadow diplomacy." If anything, Kerry's actions pushed Trump towards what many suspect will be a termination of the deal, since any back-pedalling now would tilt towards Kerry as saving the deal last minute.

Trump Likely To Scrap Iran Deal, Reimpose Sanctions: NYT

President Donald Trump is committed to regime change in Iran, said Rudy Giuliani, Trump's newest controversial attorney (although perhaps not for long) and longtime informal advisor.
Speaking to reporters after a Saturday keynote to the Iran Freedom Convention for Democracy and Human Rights in Washington, Giuliani said "We got a president who is tough, who does not listen to the people who are naysayers, and a president who is as committed to regime change as we are." In other words, pulling out of the Iran nuclear deal is now being conflated with regime change in Iran.
Giuliani says he's been a supporter of regime change for "ten years," that it's the only way to peace in the middle east, and that it's "more important than an Israeli-Palestinian deal."....

President Trump to Announce Decision on Iran Nuclear Deal, 2:00 PM Tuesday

The President of the United States (POTUS) has tweeted that he will announce his decision on re-certifying the Iran nuclear deal, tomorrow at about 2:00 PM from the White House.
There is very wide speculation about the decision.  Many believe the President will re-Certify Iran's compliance and thus continue with the deal.  Just as many believe the President sees this as a very bad deal and will DECLINE to Certify Iran's compliance, thereby withdrawing the United States from the agreement.
There are great risks to either choice.  Certifying the deal in its present form, is virtually meaningless because there are insufficient conditions within the deal to actually VERIFY that Iran is not developing nuclear weapons.
Declining to re-Certify it means the deal falls apart virtually instantly.  Iran has previously made known that if the US withdraws from the deal, then Iran itself will withdraw from it as well.  That would affect every other nation which is signatory to the deal.
Iran has also said it will have a "surprise" for the United States very shortly after the deal is ended.  Many have speculated the Iranians may be able to develop an actual nuclear bomb with two weeks; the Israelis certainly feel that way (but they're paranoid).
 The decision about re-certification must be made by its deadline,  May 12 - this coming Saturday.  

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