Tuesday, 5 December 2017

Contemptible lies and half-truths on New Zealand's drought

My anger is almost uncontainable as EVERYONE, from NIWA to the media to local councils lie through their teeth about this.

Residents in Napier are understandably livid that they were not even given 24 hours notice of their water crisis. Meanwhile they are told that because they forewent taking showers last night and the heatwave might soon be over the crisis will be over by next week.

Do I need to point out to these criminal idiots that we are 5 days into summer and have about 3 months to go.

Here, where I live (and where I have been keeping a watching brief for several years, the council is in similar denial and any warnings that water shortages and droughts are inevitable with abrupt climate change (along with terrible floods). Meanwhile people are being brainwashed into thinking there is not problem.

In the meantime the Hutt City is relying on emergency supplies, something we were told would not happen.

All of these organisations are guilty of wilful neglect of their constituents by not telling them even a small part of the truth.

Things will NEVER be normal again.

Neither is it a “new Normal” with the speed of change.

I shall be providing more data and photos from our local area tomorrow.

Napier residents demand answers Why weren't we warned

Napier residents are furious they were left in the dark over the town's water crisis, which left reservoirs so low yesterday it was feared they could run dry.

Another area of New Zealand has water problems where it was previously thought not to exist.

A general rule of media in this country is NEVER EVER PROVIDE ANY CONTEXT TO STORIES that might allow people to join the dots.

I suspect that people are starting to slowly wake up to their predicament

Clutha told to conserve water as reservoirs run low

Tapanui is at just 50 percent of capacity and officials say all the town needs is a major fire, which consumes 30 to 40 percent of the reservoirs, to run out of water.

Radio NZ have decided to wrap up their Q&A soon after they posted it so THERE IS NO WAY our questions will be addressed.

But NIWA is LYING (contemptuous lies)!

Also, what does this mean for the Pacific? Will this mean more tropicalcyclones?

"The pattern we are in now is actually somewhat typical for early in the summer season during La Nina years. Late 2010-early 2011 and late 2007-early 2008 are good examples of what we call 'analogue years,' or years with similar climatic patterns to the present.

"However, 2017 takes things up a few notches from those years. The air temperatures are warmer, the sea temperatures warmer, and we just broke several century plus old rainfall records in the South Island.

"The patterns we are dealing with are being driven by atmospheric patterns like La Nina -- think of it as the steering wheel. Climate change sits in the background and is responsible for the long-term upward temperature trend. Think of it as a foot on the accelerator, giving it a little bit more pressure with each passing year.

As for our cyclone season, our Facebook post covers it all. In summary, it might turn active about the north of the country later in the season. “

This is from their own material:

La Niña’s impacts on New Zealand

La Niña events have different impacts on New Zealand's climate. More north–easterly winds are characteristic, which tend to bring moist, rainy conditions to the north–east of the North Island, and reduced rainfall to the south and south–west of the South Island.
Therefore, some areas, such as central Otago and South Canterbury, can experience drought in both El Niño and La Niña. Warmer than normal temperatures typically occur over much of the country during La Niña, although there are regional and seasonal exceptions.”

New Zealand's sea temperature swing largest in world
The water temperature in the Tasman Sea is well above normal - a whopping 6degC more than average for the start of December.

5 December, 2017

The increase has been driven by a La Nina climate system, and scientists say a continued warming of our ocean could permanently damage our fisheries and lead to tropical cyclones.

NIWA meteorologist Ben Noll says the "very impressive marine heatwave" has led to the largest deviation from normal temperatures in the world.
"The sea surface temperatures in the Australia-New Zealand region are presently the most anomalous on the globe," he says.
"Typical La Nina signature but intensity turned up many notches."

A very impressive marine heatwave is unfolding near the east coast of , across the Tasman Sea, and in New Zealand coastal waters ... average anomaly is +1.98°C and max anomaly is a gaudy +6.16°C off NZ's West Coast.
Global water temperature maps show the Tasman Sea between New Zealand and Australia stands out, both with the largest increase and largest area affected.

The warmth is more than just skin-deep. Temperature anomalies of 1degC to 3degC are being found in the top 200 meters.

NIWA climate scientist Nava Fedaeff says this is due to the lack of storms, which churn up the ocean and reduce temperatures.

However she warns that calm conditions now could increase the strength of tropical storms and cyclones when they do hit.

"Warm seas can act like fuel," she says. "If we do get a tropical storm this could add more moisture to the system."

NIWA marine biogeochemist Professor Cliff Law says this ocean warming is likely to continue, and could lead to more invasive species and possibly new diseases in our fisheries.

"The average warming around New Zealand is 2.5degC by the end of this century, which will affect how the ocean mixes and the nutrients available for plankton growth, with knock-on effects on the foodweb and fisheries," he says.

"All regions will see a reduction in food supply, because of a decrease in particulate material sinking from the surface - and that is what links climate change to our fisheries."

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