Tuesday, 9 August 2016

Extreme weather report - 08/08/2016

Typhoons in the Pacific

After posting this I’ve had some comments from Roger Caldwell that I’d like to share -

I've been watching this and in recent weeks I've noticed that a "double high" has formed across the North Pacific. Accompanying the double high is a "double hot blob", this time extending across the Gulf of Alaska and into the Sea of Okhotsk. I think this is a really important development.

The pictures are about two weeks apart, the first picture showing mean sea level pressure (MSLP) shows the blocking high that shields California from rain, and a second high that prevents typhoon linkages from extending due north.

In the last few days, two typhoons have formed. Their tracks will take them around the west side and due north. This would be the type of water source that could reach into the farther north areas.

In addition, SSTs are really high, some areas up to 31C...very conducive for fast strengthening

And the icing on the cake is that the MJO is coming strong out of the box over this areas for the next 10 days. This area could be popping out typhoons like a cosmic popcorn machine. 

Just in time for the meltdown.

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