Extreme weather for Victoria
and Tasmania, Australia
OKAY LADIES AND GENTS THIS IS NOW STARTING TO LOOK LIKE THE COLDEST OUTBREAK FOR VICTORIA AND TASMANIA SINCE 2005 (Both states combined).
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- SNOW TO COVER MOST OF TASMANIA INCLUDING KING ISLAND AS IT REACHES SEA LEVEL IN PARTS & POSSIBLY DOWN TO 200-300 METRES PARTS OF SOUTHERN VICTORIA
- SNOW DOWN TOO 400-500 METRES SOUTHERN HIGHLANDS OF NSW AND VIC ALPS
Updated on vicious cold snap for Tasmania and Victoria Tuesday July 12th and Wednesday July 13th, models this mornings updates have gone colder.
- Two cold fronts will barrage through south eastern Australia first one Sunday July 10th wind dangerous winds gusts (120km/hin parts) and rain, the second system which will be much colder will come through later Monday and Monday night July 11th leaving a very COLD airmass in its wake
- This morning models are showing the airmass to be colder again across Victoria and Tasmania through Tuesday, Tuesday night and Wednesday morning with -6c at 850Hpa levels temps over Tasmania possibly -7 in SW Tasmania and -5c temps in southern Victoria and -6c in Bass Straight including King island.
What does this all mean?
We expect most of western and southern Tasmania to be covered in snow or sleet with this system! 80% of the state we expect will either see snow or sleet even if it is a few flakes. Parts of western Tasmania may see heavy snowfalls.
Snow may also fall down to sea levels or very close too over parts of Bass straight including King island and possibly Flinders island.
Snow MAY fall to as low as 200-300 metres in southern Victoria which includes the Otway regions, higher parts of SW VIC, Gippsland ranges, Central ranges including Mt Macedon, Ballarat, Ararat and surrounding areas and towns, Strathbogie ranges, Mt Dandenong and outer eastern suburbs of Melbourne foothills leading into the Dandenongs.
Very strong winds, hail and thunder will also impact both states through the Sunday to Wednesday period (July 10th til July 13th).
The atmosphere looks too dry for decent snow on the central ranges of NSW but not ruling out the odd flake.. In saying this the very cold airmass will extend well noth even into SE QLD.
More to come next couple of days.
Image one: Cloud set up for Tuesday morning July 12th showing the large speckled cloud (very cold airmass) south of SA and west of Vic and Tasmania as it tracks east and north east. This is taken from the Euro model.
Image two: Precipitation Tuesday morning from the Euro model, some of this will fall as snow.
Image three: 850hPa temps across Australia Tuesday night July 12th from the Euro/EC model showing the light green regions below 0c and darker green over south eastern Australia is temps below -4c which indicates snow to low levels.
Image four: 850hPa temps across southern Victoria, Bass Straight and Tasmania early hours of Wednesday morning July 13th from the GFS model. Most of Tasmania is forecasted to be in -6c temps or below which indicates snow to sea level or very close to sea level GIVEN THERE IS ENOUGH MOISTURE.