winter of 2015-2016 could end up as one of the warmest winters on
record for Canada as a whole, as a strong El Niño persists into the
Above-Normal Temperatures to Envelop Western Canada
Canada residents should expect another winter with above- to well
above-normal temperatures, as a prevailing westerly flow delivers
milder Pacific air across the region.
to last winter, there will be more snow across the coastal mountains
of western British Columbia, which includes the Whistler Blackcomb
ski resort, host of the 2010 Winter Olympics.
east in the Rockies of eastern British Columbia and western Alberta,
snowfall will underachieve this winter. The majority of the snow in
this region will fall during the first half of the winter before a
drier pattern sets up during January and February.
Mild Conditions to Dominate Season in the Prairies
and milder weather will be a dominant theme across the Prairie region
this winter as the Polar jet stream gets displaced farther to the
pattern will greatly limit the amount and duration of Arctic air
masses that normally impact the region.
temperatures could be as much as 3 degrees Celsius (5.5 degrees
Fahrenheit) above normal this winter in cities such as Edmonton,
Calgary and Regina.
snowfall events will be few and far between across the region as the
primary storm track will generally remain farther south across the
central and southern U.S.
Risk for Ice Storms in Ontario, Quebec
coming winter will not be nearly as cold as last winter thanks in
part to El Niño.
should lead to a noticeable difference in heating bills compared to
the winter pattern will also favor an increased risk of ice storms,
especially from eastern Ontario to southern Quebec, including the
cities of Ottawa and Montreal.
of Ontario, including the lake-effect snow belts will have less
snowfall compared to normal, as the main storm track shifts to the
south and east during January and February.
the storm track shifts toward the East Coast later in January and
February, there will be an increased risk for significant snowfall
events across eastern Quebec, including the Gaspe Peninsula.
but Mild Conditions Forecast for Most of Atlantic Canada
combination of a strong El Niño and warmer-than-usual sea-surface
waters surrounding the region will lead to slightly higher
temperatures compared to normal this winter.
winter could turn snowy again from New Brunswick to Prince Edward
Island, especially the second half of the winter.
milder conditions will favor a greater tendency for storms that
initially bring snow, but change to ice or rain, especially across
of Newfoundland will experience a milder winter with a reduced number
of major storms.