This planet has not harbored humans at 3.3 C or higher above baseline
(i.e., the beginning of the industrial revolution). The number may be
much lower. The jury is still out.
Humans are animals that depend on myriad other species for survival.
As with all other animals, humans require clean air, potable water,
healthy food, and the ability to maintain body temperature to sustain
Humans will die without a living planet that continuously supplies
the elements listed above.
So far, all humans born into the physical realm have died. There is
no rational basis for expecting any human to avoid this fate.
The Sixth Mass Extinction is under way.
All species have gone extinct or will go extinct. There is no
rational basis for expecting Homo
avoid this fate.
rate of evolution via natural selection trails the rate of climate
change by a factor of 10,000, according to a paper
in the August 2013 issue of Ecology
Clever as we are, we will not evade the Sixth Mass Extinction in the
absence of myriad non-human organisms to supply the necessities of
emission reductions (35%–80%) in anthropogenic aerosols and their
precursors projected by Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP)
4.5 result in ~1 °C of additional warming,” according
to an analysis published in the 20 May 2013 issue of Journal
of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres.
Instead of taking the cherry-picking, conservative approach assumed
by academic scientists and the International Panel on Climate
Change’s RCP, I’ll use the upper end of the conservative
projection: Reducing industrial activity by 35% results in ~1 C
global-average temperature rise, and eliminating global industrial
activity results in an attendant ~3 C global-average temperature
other words, the absence of solar dimming associated with reflective
particles could cause an abrupt rise in global-average temperature
beyond that which has supported the existence of humans in the past
(about 4 C, the number at which this
headline from 2008 in The
concludes human extinction). A large majority of the rise in
temperature will come much more rapidly than the initial 0.85 C.
Assuming the least-conservative end of the very conservative spectrum
offered by the journal literature and the International Panel on
Climate Change takes Earth well beyond the temperature at which human
life has been harbored on this planet. Earth only gets hotter from
the other hand, nobody knows the global-average temperature at which
humans will become extinct. We’ve not yet completed this trial. By
the time we complete the trial, there will be nobody left to record
it. The lesson will come after the exam.
industrial economies of the world are inextricably linked. If Europe
goes down the tubes because the derivatives bubble pops on that
continent, then there will be consequences throughout the world.
There’s a reason the Federal Reserve System of the United States
gives money directly to foreign countries.
not suggesting all humans will die within days after the ongoing
collapse of industrial civilization is complete. Rather, that process
is likely to require months, or perhaps a few years. But it’s
difficult for me to envision Earth with humans in 2030,
notwithstanding the IPCC’s
to conventional “wisdom,” we cannot sustain this unsustainable
set of living arrangements indefinitely. Industrial civilization will
end. Those of you believing somebody has the system under control are
is in charge of the system.
Only you are responsible for yourself.
after civilization reaches its overdue end, habitat for humans will
disappear. Between now then, every year will be worse than the one
before, except for the few who benefit from oppression abroad,
obedience at home, and destruction of the living planet. Obedience at
home is exemplified by thoughtless people still on their hamster
take heart: Bunkers of beans will see you through a few years if you
avoid fires, floods, superstorms, bitter cold, infectious diseases,
and numerous other hazards. After that, it’s microbes and bacteria
for ten million years or so, assuming humans become the first animals
to persist beyond seven generations despite lethal mutations
associated with bathing in ionizing radiation.
take heart: We
get to live.
It’s quite an amazing deal. Let’s get on with it
Guy and Pauline Schneider were interviewed for Evolve and Ascend on 7