Thursday 16 April 2015

From the Saker


Ukraine Analysis by the Saker: a “Croatian” attack scenario?


15 Febraury, 2015


M2A RIP
It is pretty clear that the chances of peace, which were always tiny, are getting worse and worse by the day.   I personally never believed that the Minsk-2 Agreement (M2A) would be implemented by the Kiev junta and I am not in the least surprised.  The most what the junta could do was to withdraw some (not even most!) of its heavy weapons and then bring news ones in.  As for the political steps foreseen by M2A they are simply unthinkable for the junta.  In fact, even if Poroshenko decided to comply with M2A and, say, negotiate a future Ukrainian constitution with the representatives of Novorussia, he would probably be overthrown within 24 hours, not only because the Nazi freaks like Iarosh would never accept that but because, more importantly, Uncle Sam would never accept that either.

The key actor: the USA

The single most important actor in the Ukrainian crisis are the USA which has far more influence than the EU or any local political force.  And the fact is that the USA have everything to lose from a peaceful outcome of the Ukrainian civil war.  

Why?  Simple!

The US powerbase in the Ukraine is composed of two very different groups: first, the Nazi ultra-nationalist freaks with very strong ties to the Ukie emigrants in Canada and the USA and, second, the corrupt oligarchs.  Now here is the key factor here: neither of these two groups are a majority of the Ukrainian people, even if we exclude the Donbass.  In fact, even when put together into one “pro-US 5th column” the Nazi freaks and Ukie oligarchs are still not a majority.  This crucial fact translates into a very simple but crucial policy imperative: the USA cannot allow anything remotely “democratic” in the Ukraine: it is either “people power” or “US power”, but it will never be both.  From that flows a 2nd very simple policy imperative: the US needs to maintain a state of crisis at all costs: war, civil war, industrial or ecological disaster, MH-17, unknown snipers, etc.  Peace will sooner or later bring some form of people power which, in turn, will mean that the USA would lose control of the situation.

This is why whether the next crisis results from yet another military defeat or from food shortages and riots, the junta’s “solution” will be the same one: martial law.  The Rada, in fact, just passed such a law allowing easy imposition of martial law.

Martial law as a way to save the current regime

The big advantage (for the USA) of the introduction of martial law in the Ukraine is that the two “pillars” of US power in the Ukraine (Nazi freaks and oligarchs) will most obviously the ones to declare and implement martial law, thus their power over the country will remain safely in their hands.  Furthermore, martial law will allow the regime to viciously crack down and crush any opposition under minimal or even no legal constraints of any kind.  Any person or group protesting or otherwise disagreeing with anything the junta does will be declared “agent of Putin” and dealt with by either imprisonment or simply executed.

The imposition of martial law will also be a financial bonanza for the oligarch which will use it to ruthlessly eliminate any opponents or anybody questioning their practices.  But there is more to a martial law option than just short term benefits:

Longer term benefits of martial law: the preparation of a “Croatian” scenario

More and more people are coming to the conclusion that the junta in Kiev is preparing for what is often called a “Croatian” scenario.



UNPAs in the Serbijan Krajinas in Croatia

[Sidebar – short reminder: at the end of the first phase of the civil war in Croatia, the Croats were unable to defeat the local Serbian population which had lived in areas called “Krajinas” – from the same root as the word “Ukraine” meaning “border region”. The UN then established “UN Protected Areas” or UNPAs in which the local Serbs were supposed to be safe from Croatian attacks.  These areas are shown in dark blue on the map.  The Croatians then waited a few years, while being trained and armed by the USA, and eventually they attacked on the under the cover of the USAF.  The UN forces immediately surrendered and the Krajinas were rapidly overrun resulting in a massive movement of Croatian Serb civilians feeling the Croatian offensive.  The “civilized world” stood by and either applauded or said nothing].

The US-Ukie oh-so-subtle plan appears to be very similar to the “Croatian variant”: buy enough time to prepare for a massive attack and then crush the “separatists” is a short but very intense campaign. The big question is – can that work?

An “Operation Storm” in the Donbass?

Externally, the similarities between the two wars are striking: two US-run Nazi states use the cover of a peacekeeping operation to prepare a massive assault against its own population.  But there are also crucial differences which one should not underestimate:

The first and most important difference is the difference between the rump-Yugoslavia (Serbia and Montenegro) under Milosevic and Russia under Putin.  For one thing, Yugoslavia was obviously not a nuclear superpower and Milosevic had to count with the possibility that Serbia and Montenegro could be simply invaded by the USA and NATO.  There is exactly zero risk of that happening in Russia. But even more importantly, Milosevic did betray his Bosnian-Serb and Croatian-Serb brothers and impose sanctions on them.  In contrast, Putin allowed both “Voentorg” (the delivery of weapons) and “Severnyi Veter” ( or “Northern Wind” – i.e, the sending of volunteers) Novorussia).  But this goes way beyond Putin: there is a 90% or so agreement in Russia that there is no way that Russia will allow the Nazis to overrun the Donbass.  So if Putin did let that happen, he would be putting himself and his allies in grave danger.  In fact, Putin had a very hard time even defending his decision not to send the Russian military into Novorussia last year, most Russians did agree, but it took some very intense PR campaigns and a lot of convincing.  The 80%+ support Putin enjoys in Russia is exceptional and strong, but it is not unconditional and while the pro-western “liberal” opposition presents no threat to him, the nationalist opposition is currently rather weak only because Putin is very careful in his policies. But should he “sell out” Novorussia or suddenly turn pro-Western and that rather currently tame nationalist opposition could become very dangerous.  In reality, since it is the “patriotic” (but non-nationalistic – big difference!) segment of the population which is the real power base of Putin I don’t see him doing anything to alienate them, especially not by allowing Novorussian to be invaded by the Nazis.

There is also a pragmatic reason why Russian cannot allow the Kiev Nazis to overrun Novorussia: not only would their next attack be inevitably be directed at Crimea (they already promised that numerous times!), but even the combats in Novorussia only would most likely pull the Russian forces in anyway.
The bottom line is this: Russia will never allow an “Operation Storm” in Novorussia.

The second big difference is the terrain and forces involved.  The Serbs in the UNPAs had given up their heavy weapons, the terrain was either low mountains or a narrow valleys and, most importantly, they did not have a “safe border” from which they can be supported and resupplied (like the Afghans had with Pakistan during the Soviet occupation).  Furthermore, the Novorussians have slowly and painfully struggled to transform their militia of volunteers into a regular army force and while this process has not been easy, to say the last, it appears to have been pretty successful.  Keep in mind that even before these reforms, the militas were rather successful in all their operations and that their air defenses had succeeded in imposing a no-fly zone over the Donbass.  Their biggest weakness was their limited capability for coordinated attacks and counter-attacks, but that has probably changed now.  Not only that, but by all accounts the Novorussians now have large stores of weapons, plenty of armor and more than enough men.   As a result, the Novorussians are now probably capable of combined arms operations.

When the US and NATO bombed the Krajina Serbs, they enjoyed air supremacy, they faced no air defenses, the number of targets they had to engage was very limited and the Serbs, having been betrayed by everybody, had no will to fight left.  The Ukrainians have lost most of their airforce, the number of potential targets they might want to hit in the Donbass is very large and very well defended.
Last but not least, there are at least two major cities in Novorussia, Donetsk and Lugansk.  These cities are large, easy to defend, very well prepared and capable of resisting for a very long time.  No such cities existed in the Serbian Krajina.

 Back to reality

The similarities between the civil wars in Croatia and the Ukraine are both superficial and deceiving.  In purely military terms the conquest of Novorussia by the Kiev junta would be infinitely more difficult than the relatively simple Croatian operation to invade the Krajinas.

As for the famous US aid, let’s remember not only the little good it did to the Georgians, but also all the other US allies who benefited from lavish US aid, huge weapons deliveries, CIA organized death squads, the full propaganda support of the US corporate media and who still were defeated.  Even the deployment of US military forces as a solution of last resort rarely proved effective against a popular insurgency.

Do the Ukrainians and the Americans understand that an Krajina-like operation in the Donbass is impossible?  The latter probably do, especially the military specialists.  As for the Ukrainians, they don’t really care.  For them it is all about pretending, keeping a rationale alive to justify their actions, making promises of “defeating the Moskal’s with the help of the USA and NATO”.  Whether that actually happens or not is irrelevant for them.  What matters is keeping the good times (for them, of course) going for as long as possible.  And when the inevitable happens, they will flee like so many other US stooges in the past, from the Shah of Iran to Ferdinand Marcos.

But in the short term we should have no illusions about the immediate future: the junta forces will attack again and even though their next offensive will probably be much more effective than their previous ones, they will be defeated again, either by the Novorussians or by the Russian military.

The Saker

Givi’s interview regarding the recent UAF attacks on Peski and Spartak





South Front’s Foreign Policy Diary ‘Yemen’






Ukraine SITREP April, 15nd, 2015 by Scott


Ladies and gentlemen, looks like ceasefire in Ukraine is now officially over.
The regime started escalating their attacks on the 10th already, and launched a full on attack along the whole western front on the day of Orthodox Easter.
What do the Russians call a NATO Rapid Reaction Force? Speed bump. The absolute histerium of Verteidigungsministerium.

Ukraine never seizes to amaze us… By legally labeling the Soviet Union “criminal regime” and calling everything Soviet ” a crime,” Ukraine outlaws and criminalizes its own existence, since it was created by the Bolsheviks. Poland is coming to take Lvov and territories, armed with the EU agreement and NATO.

Is it time for Russia to quit the “Kill Russia” club and look Pacific?

Every now and then the European nations lineup for a time honored Western tradition – a war against Russia. Like a legendary Transylvania vampire, Europe gets up from its democratic coffin in quest for Russian treasures and rivers of Russian blood. Time after time Europe shows the true face of its bestial nature.
Century after century Russia bears the brunt of the European animosity and still for centuries some in Russia look at Europe longingly, thriving for acceptance and belonging. On the true size map of Eurasia, Europe looks like a tiny appendage in comparison to the enormous Russia. To use the old British zoological metaphor, as long as Russia faces West, Europe acts like a muzzle on the Russian bears’ face. However, when Russia turns East and Pacific, towards Asia and Latin America, it discovers a honeycomb of friendly nations with wonderful ancient cultures, developed technologies, and traditionalism. Thus, Europe assumes it’s naturally destined position of an appendage clinging on to the Russian bear’s ass. 
Let’s call it a “tail.”

A simple explanation why the West doesn’t see the fascism in Ukraine. Don’t you hate it when people bring facts to an argument…. And last, but not least: the Polish Retarded Tower of Russophobic Paranoia: before and after design.

1. APRIL 8: Ukraine, Right Sector lawlessness in Kherson
8th April 2015, city Kherson, future Kherson republic

Thugs of “Right sector” beat public activists from another organizations in the Kherson RSA.

It happened on 8th April 2015. In the video there are a few repetitions, may be difficult to watch it.

2. Why Poland supported Maidan
An English translation of Miroslava Berdnyk’ article. A brilliant Ukrainian historian, Miroslava has been on my must to read list since 2007. Unfortunately, her articles and materials on history of Ukraine, the Soviet Union, WWI and WWII have not being translated enough. Don’t miss this one.

3. Images of Kiev in 1985
The West calls this a “Soviet occupation.” For many people it was a wonderful time and place of happy childhood. Miroslava Berdnyk’s nostalgic journey.

4. CANADIANS: Please join your fellow Canadians in Toronto to remember the victims of the terrible Odessa Tragedy on Saturday, May 2nd.
Below is a link with the details to the event.

5. Ukraine parliament launched an irreversible process leading to the final disintegration of Ukraine
The head of the DPR Alexander Zakharchenko said that the Ukrainian parliament launched an irreversible process leading to the final disintegration of Ukraine by its assertion that the Organization of Ukrainian Nationalists (OUN) and Ukrainian Insurgent Army (UPA) were “freedom fighters”.

Киев запустил процессы полного распада страны, признав членов ОУН-УПА борцами за свободу – Захарченко

During the Great Patriotic War, the OUN cooperated with Nazi German intelligence agencies and fought against the Soviets. In 1943, the OUN formed the Ukrainian Insurgent Army (UPA). The OUN actively promoted recruitment efforts for the 14. Waffen-Grenadier-Division der SS “Galizien” 

(galizische/ukrainische SS-Division Nr 1). According to scholarly research, the OUN and UPA killed at least a million people, including about 200,000 Poles.
They’re trying to embroil Russia with Ukraine by making such a law. This attempt to glorify UPA soldiers is farcical. This ‘historic’ declaration causes nothing but disgust and revulsion. However, it IS historical, because this action today formalizes the victory of fascism in Ukraine. Very soon, most Ukrainians will conclude that the country is destroyed. The Ukrainian leadership launched an irreversible process leading to the complete disintegration of the country,” – Zakharchenko said.

6. Kiev unleashes terror in Ukraine

Since April 2014, the beginning of the Kiev junta war on the territory of Ukraine only in Donetsk People republic about 2230 persons are considered missing without a trace.

7. Ukraine cancels the cornerstone of any judicial system – the principle of presumed innocence. Here the text of the law in Ukrainian language http://w1.c1.rada.gov.ua/pls/zweb2/webproc4_1?pf3511=54673
http://rusvesna.su/news/1428607329 (Write-up in Russian)

8. Full victory of fascism in Ukraine

O.U.N. (Organization of Ukrainian Nationalists)

Ukrainian parliament defines WWII nationalist insurgent army as independence fighters

To gain some historical perspective, let’s look at the Bloomberg article from October 2012 on Neo-fascism in Ukraine


Ukraine this week held a deeply flawed election,” “the biggest gains went to a party of neo-fascists,” “it’s hard to imagine a more depressing outcome.” “for the EU and the U.S. alike, the priority should be to avoid widening the fissures between the Ukrainian-speaking west and Russian-speaking east, or driving the government into the arms of Vladimir Putin, Russia’s President.” Svoboda, led by Oleh Tiahnybok “changed its name from the Social-Nationalist Party and dropped a Swastika-like emblem. Still, much of its appeal lies in hardcore ethnic-Ukrainian nationalism and a hatred of Poles, Russians, Jews and gays. These have deep roots in Ukraine’s history and should give pause.”

Peculiarities of the Ukrainian fascism by Scott

The legislation, which also targets Nazi propaganda was adopted by 254 votes in favor in the 450-member parliament, or Rada. It bans all symbols and propaganda representing “the totalitarian Communist and Nazi regimes” — from street names and flags, to monuments and plaques. It effectively cancels the existence of Ukraine, since it was created by the Communist Bolsheviks government in 1919-1920 and signed into law by Lenin.

However a separate law adopted by the same hardworking Rada on Thursday April 8, officially recognizes the role of a nationalist group that fought for Ukraine’s independence in the mid-20th century and is still popular in western Ukraine.

We are talking about OUN, UPA, those various Nazi collaborators, murderers (Petro Dyachenko) , and those that haven’t been rehabilitated yet, while many were previously (Bandera, Shukevych). Most of western media skipped it altogether.

The bill is actually interesting, since it proclaims Nazi collaborators and mass murderers of Poles, Jews, Russians, and Ukrainians as freedom fighters, and calls for prosecution of Ukrainians and foreigners who show disrespect towards OUN, UPA, or any other “Ukrainian Hero.”

Some people call this law divisive and comparable to the post-Maidan ban on Russian language that led to the Ukrainian Civil war and an escape of Crimea. Others say that it’s no biggie, just the expressive use of folklore.

The biggest mistake in war and market investments is to look at the past performance and assume that the things would be the same. The First World War was different from the Anglo-Franco Crimean War in 1853-1856. the Second World War was different from the Chechen War, the Chechen war was different from the Civil war in Ukraine. The NATO war with Russia and its allies will be different from any other war in the history of mankind. Just like the investment in Citibank in 2009 wasn’t anything like investment into the same bank today.
Comparing the fascist ideology in Hitler’s Germany to the modern fascist ideology in Ukraine is a somewhat misguided and misplaced endeavor, unless you agree that the only constant here is the demonization of the Russian nation. However, the superiority of Aryan race as a driving force of the European fascism circa mid 20 century has been replaced in Ukraine by the revenge of the Semites. Not against Germans – the exterminators, mind you. It’s a revenge against Russians, the liberators. The same Russians who spilled blood and treasure all over Europe to liberate its nations and to open gates of the death camps. The same Russians who gave the Jews the highest positions of power in their state, culture, finance, business, education, and science. The same Russians who vouched for the creation of Israel. The same Russians that agree to punish antisemitism with the lengthy jail sentences. I kid you not. The Westerners are indoctrinated to believe that fascism is pure anti-Semitic philosophy. Consequently, how dare we to call a Jew, wearing swastika and commanding the battalion of Nazis, a fascist. No, we must dubbed him a “Cossack hunter.”

Meet Tuvia Tenenbom, a self-proclaimed “theater director, playwright, author, journalist, essayist and the founding artistic director of the Jewish Theater of New York. ” He makes his pilgrimage to Lvov in futile search of Ukrainian fascists.

Traveling down this rabbit hole, he meets Nathan Chazin, a citizen of Israel who served in IDF. He wears a Star of David and the uniform of the Right Sector. Nathan is presently commanding a Right Sector battalion and is very proud of his role in genocide of Russians in Donbas.

In the Jewish community center in Kiev, the author was informed that the Right Sector is not anti-Semitic organization. How could the Right Sector be anti-Semitic with so many Jews commanding officers, like the Chief of communications Right Sector Boris Blaher AKA Borislav Bereza, a real boyfriend of Anna Duritskaya? Or a former IDF soldier, Nathan Chazin, or an ex-soldiers of Israel Army claiming to create a Jewish battalion “Matilan” for fight against Novorossia? The financing of this paramilitary forces also comes from Jews. Would Jews finance the Nazis?

Next, Tuvia meets three banderas, named after the all-time legendary Ukrainian fascist, Stepan Bandera. They are from Volosyanka and two of them are Jewish.
Tenenbom’s thesis: these nice, simple people decorated with swastikas and fascist flags, cannot be fascists because they like Jews. They just hate Russians.


Ukraine – Donbas SITREP

1. Fighting picks up in war-torn Donetsk

2. Ukrainian troops are intensively shelling the positions of the DPR army with all types of weapons, the DPR Defense Ministry reported to the Donetsk News Agency. April, 13 2015. Donetsk People’s Republic, Novorossiya.

According to our information, Ukrainian army is still intensively shelling our positions with all types of weapons, including heavy artillery, from the settlement of Opytniy. The settlement is controlled by the Ukrainian troops,” – the Defense Ministry said. It also refuted reports of some media, which alleges that the positions of the DPR army has been ousted from Peski and there is a possibility of a breakthrough of the Ukrainian army.

We do not confirm those reports,” – the DPR Defense Ministry said.
Meanwhile, the cannonades are heard in ALL the districts of Donetsk, including the center of the city. http://dan-news.info/

The dan-news.info links to their articles only open from the page itself.

3. “Slavyansk. Chronicles of War” documentary by Maxim Fadeyev [eng subs]

4. Horrific Results of the April 12 bombardment of Town Hospital #21
Страшные последствия вчерашнего обстрела 21-й больницы

APRIL 13: Video. It’s in Russian, but easy to understand. Yesterdays bombardment by the Kiev occupational forces left the hospital in ruins. Just follow the war reporter Kathrin Katina to see the horrific results of the bombardment of the 21st Town Hospital in township Oktyabrskaya, Donetsk.

5. 14 April, DAN Donetsk News Agency: DNR Min of Defense Says Disinformation on Junta Breakthrough near Peski was to Panic Donetsk Residents

Вброс дезинформации о «прорыве» позиций армии ДНР был призван посеять панику среди дончан – Минобороны

A source at the DNR Ministry of Defense Minoborony told us, “Last night, there was disinformation circulating that our positions near Peski were cut off and that an attack threatened Donetsk. We believe that it was a premeditated provocation by official Ukrainian sources, who wanted to spread panic amongst the civilian population. Thanks to our prompt reaction to it, we foiled this provocation”. Overnight on 13 April, a number of media outlets reported that junta forces knocked the VSN out of Peski, with a threat of a junta breakthrough to Donetsk. The DNR Minoborony definitively refuted this disinformation.

6. April 13: Donetsk – Spartak-Airport , ongoing battle, 22:00
13.04.2015 22.00 Ночной бой Пески-Спартак-Аэропорт. Video

7. April 13: Interview with ‪‎NAF‬ veteran Botsman
[eng subs] “Sides became stronger, war’s gonna get more violent”

A highly intelligent military officer of the NAF assess the situation and calls for the Ukraine forces to get rid of the powers in Kiev and to start an honest dialogue about the future of the country “without the middlemen.” He also urges civilians to flee if the front is at least 30 kilometers from their homes.

You can always come back after it’s over. We don’t want civilians killed, because it’s going to be like nobody has ever seen before.”

8. April 14-15: BREAKING NEWS: NAF moves large amounts of troops direction ‪‎Donetsk‬ airport ‪Spartak‬ was nearly surrounded last night by ‪Ukrainian‬ troops, NAF suffered serious casualties, but held strong, ‪‎Voentorg‬ saved the day.

9. NAF managed to repel all attacks on Spartak yesterday. Heavy losses on both sides. NAF have several KIA, 50 WIA and armor losses DONETSK—This speaks about demonstration of bravery of Givi’s Somali and the resilience of NAF troops and command in general. Let us hope NAF can now counterattack in force. Destroy the Ukronazis.

10. Recent Events In Donbas, Ukrainian Forces Continue the Attacks

Ukrainian Forces is using foreign mercenaries in their attack on Donetsk and Mariupol Area ( NAF locations).

11. The death of the 36 NAF soldiers in the 1st battle for the Donetsk Airport, Vostok command fault, some kind of conspiracy.

12. Heavy Infantry Fighting in Marinka Near Donetsk

12. American troops landed in Lvov 14.04.2015

13. Ukrainian DRONES OVER DONESTK ,GORLOVKA, MORTAR DUELS AT MARIUPOL, VOLNOVAKHA

14. ‎Ukraine‬ regime violated the ceasefire 66 times yesterday using artillery, tanks & mortars against Donetsk & villages

15. De-Christianization of Ukraine. 100s Orthodox church buildings destroyed by Ukrainian forces

16. NAF managed to suppress Ukraine’s advance & eliminate the threat to and springboard for attack on city suburbs.

17. Truck with humanitarian aid for ‪Debaltsevo‬ kids passes through a narrow strip of a blown-up bridge


18. APRIL 13-15: Reports Twitter and VK.com : PESKI—According to various reports, fighting continued, w/NAF either remaining on the outskirts (more likely) or regaining positions.

Fresh Attacks on Petrovsky ( Donetsk district )

LUGANSK‬—In ‪‎LPR‬, at ‪‎Bakhmutka‬ highway, the Ukraine forces offensive has largely petered out, with NAF holding their positions.

SPARTAK‬—As for Spartak, the NAF was able, ultimately, to hold its positions in the settlement and Ukraine forces advance was refuted.

PESKI—More important resume is that #NAF didn’t allow Ukraine to develop its initial success in Peski and successfully curtailed advance.

GORLOVKA‬—Ukraine forces conducting artillery strikes on the outskirts of Gorlovka since approximately 19:30 & late into the night.

LUGANSK—LPR Army’s losses for April 13, 2015: seven wounded, 4 tanks, 2 APCs and 2 IFVs damaged.

SHIROKINO—Part of Motorola’s unit reported to have arrived to Shirkino, what looks like in preparation for a sweep of its western outskirts

NAF Command is currently deciding whether to return artillery back to the line of front. NAF units have been raised for battle.

19. [eng subs] Interview with “Texas” — NAF volunteer from US, Donetsk airport area


20. Over 2 million children have suffered as a result of the civil war, there are more than 200 killed children among them.

Over 490 schools were destroyed in the DPR, along with 78 hospitals.
100,000 children have not attended school for one year, hiding in basements.


ECONOMY OF UKRAINE
1. Russia to sue if Ukraine does not redeem $3 billion in Eurobonds – Russian finance minister


NATO WAR AGAINST RUSSIA

1. Germany increasing tank numbers to 328 active tanks

All battalions are to be brought to 100% strength concerning tanks, from 225 to 328.

PS. a link to the UN register of National holdings of German heavy equipment, before the discussion on “stored tanks” even begins: (from 2013) Essentially they’re rearming the ghost battalion (on paper Germany has 6 tank battalion, in practice they only have the tanks for 5).


What’s in store? According to debates on augengeradeaus.de the 100+ A5 are all sold to Poland and the A4 are said to be too old to be upgraded anymore. So where are the A5 stocks to be upgraded/reactivated?

Interesting, how Germany will pay for this. Rebuilding 20 ex-Dutch A6 to A7 cost 20 millions. Where is the budget to come from? Just consider the trouble with the big-ticket projects the BW already has? There won’t be a cent more from Schäuble, that’s for sure.


Die gebrauchten Panzer sollen für 22 Millionen Euro von der Industrie zurückgekauft und dann ab 2017 modernisiert werden, wie das Verteidigungsministerium am Freitag bekanntgab.”

Neither the number 22 million € nor the phrase “bought back from the Industry” makes much sense to me Or maybe KMW hoards hundreds of “corporate main battle tanks”

2. NATO Conducts First Test Of “Russia Rapid Response Force”

NATO completed the first military drills for its new rapid reaction force, on Thursday (9 April 2015). From Tuesday (7 April 2015) through Thursday, more than 1,500 troops took part in exercise “Noble Jump,” designed to test whether troops assigned to NATO’s new Spearhead Force, or Very High Joint Readiness Task Force, could be ready to deploy 48 hours after receiving an order-to-move.
Across Europe, headquarters personnel from Croatia, Denmark, Germany, Hungary, Lithuania, Norway, Slovenia, Poland and Portugal tested their responses to NATO alert orders. In the Czech Republic and the Netherlands, troops and equipment were assembled quickly at airfields and railway stations as if they were about to depart. The units involved in this week’s exercise will also be involved in further trials in Poland in June.

Moscow meanwhile is urging the removal of all foreign military formations from Ukraine, including the instructors from the United States and NATO.

I have collected several pages of links reflecting some of the NATO activities along the Russian borders in March and April. I will post them in my next report.

RUSSIA AND BEYOND

1. BERLIN, April 13. /TASS/. Russia does not plan to renew the contract for the natural gas transit via Ukraine after 2019, Russia’s Minister of Energy Novak said on Monday.

Alexey Miller [CEO of Gazprom – TASS] has said the transit contract with Ukraine will not be renewed after 2019. All the efforts are currently focused on implementing construction of the infrastructure for the natural gas transport to Turkey,” the minister said.

Is this a gratuitous jab at the EU? This means also that Austria will depend exclusively on Nord Stream. It’s old news, unless Russia feels necessary to remand everyone about the Ukraine losing its lucrative status as a gas transit country.

2. Russia Has No Plans to Invade Ukraine – French Intelligence

Complete silence in the Western Media on a “Russia envision” that never been.
Even French are not talking. The General himself mentions this deplorable truth once, in a context of absence of trust between the NATO members.

3. Crimea Cracks Down on Corruption

4. GENEVA, April 14. /TASS/ Russia ready to move toward common economic space with EU

According to Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Gennady Gatilov, the first step on that road could be talks on establishment of a free trade zone between the EU and the Eurasian Economic Union.

5. Guest Post: Russian-Iranian Cooperation In The Creation Of New Regional Security Systems

It is quite obvious that Russia cannot substitute the West and in particular European countries with someone else.”

See my argument against #4 and #5 at the summary of this sitrep.

6. Behold the Polish Retarded Tower of Russophobic Paranoia
This is the original design: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1pId1L1ReSE

And this is the end result trimmed by the Brussels apparatchiksы…





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