Tuesday, 10 March 2015

A letter from Malcolm Light

Methane levels – a letter from Malcolm Light

Via Facebook

I am writing to you about the new mean atmospheric methane content for 2014. 

Unfortunately it is dramatically higher than in 2013 and indicates that the rate of methane expulsion from the subsea Arctic methane hydrates has increased from 2.5 to 5 times. 

This has greatly speeded up the rate of global warming and we can expect planetary wide global extinction to occur between 8 and 16 years in the future (2023 - 2031). 

The poster (see above) summarises all the available information. 

The problem is the "All of the Above Energy Policy" put in place by President Obama and the United States administration is now producing giant pollution clouds that move north - east into the Atlantic, heating up the Gulf Stream, which had already increased its flow rate by three times since the 1940's. 

This hot Gulf Stream makes its way to the Arctic where it is destabilizing the subsea methane hydrates at exponentially increasing rates. 

Five Nations (United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, United States, Australia and Canada) hold the position of the most extreme carbon footprints per person on Earth, but the US also has a giant carbon dioxide emission rate making them the greatest waster of fossil fuels on Earth and the greatest threat to humanity’s future existence. 

I would be grateful if you would pass this information on to all scientists and administration officials dealing with climate prediction and to the government. The imminent and precipitous nature of this global warming catastrophe requires instant reaction at all levels of society or we will all be dead.

Please look at these internet pages.

Updated version of the poster is at .

Also added at

Thank you for your assistance.

Yours sincerely,

Malcolm. P.R. Light (Dr)

Earth Scientist


References and Further Reading

- State Of Extreme Emergency, by Malcolm P.R. Light

- Focus on Methane, by Malcolm P.R. Light

- Arctic Atmospheric Methane Global Warming Veil, by Malcolm P.R. LightHarold Hensel and Sam Carana


From Kevin Hester, via Facebook, 2 October, 2014

All workand data in this link from others.Hat tip to Malcolm Light for the body of the work and David Patraitis for the following summary;

I get a lot of questions from people asking "What is near term?" When I say NTHE. And so I would like to give this long quote from Malcolm Light's December 2013 paper for you all to think about and to pass on to your friends and loved ones. 

Dire, immediate near term... Use this to make your plans with your loved ones.

The best estimate of the time that methane eruption in the Arctic will produce a mean atmospheric temperature of 8oC leading to total global deglaciation and the major extinction of all life on Earth (IPCC, 2007) is 2050.6 +- 3.4 (N=8) with a total range from 2042.2 to 2052.8 (Figures 1 and 2, Tables 1a - 1d, Table 2).

The lowest range extinction date of 2042.2 is 2.6 years later than to the previous best estimate for the extinction of 3/4 of the Earth's surface (2039.6) using aerial growth and methane GWP methods (Light, 2012 Figure 3) and is close to Carana's (2012) best estimate from runaway global warming (Figure 4). 

The mean time of extinction of the Northern Hemisphere was previously fixed between 2024 and 2039 (Light, 2012). The best estimate of final extinction (2050.6) is 3 years later than the mean estimate for the Southern Hemisphere of 2047.6 (Range 2038 to 2057)(Figure 3).

The Non-Disclosed Extreme Arctic Methane Threat - Runaway Global Warming 
SITES.GOOGLE.COMSeemorerocks blog on Methane;

Although the sudden high rate Arctic methane increase at Svalbard in late 2010 data set applies to only a short time interval, similar sudden methane concentration peaks also occur at Barrow point and the effects of a major methane build-up has been observed using all the major scientific observation systems. 

Giant fountains/torches/plumes of methane entering the atmosphere up to 1 km across have been seen on the East Siberian Shelf. This methane eruption data is so consistent and aerially extensive that when combined with methane gas warming potentials, Permian extinction event temperatures and methane lifetime data it paints a frightening picture of the beginning of the now uncontrollable global warming induced destabilization of the subsea Arctic methane hydrates on the shelf and slope which started in late 2010. 

This process of methane release will accelerate exponentially, release huge quantities of methane into the atmosphere and lead to the demise of all life on earth before the middle of this century. 


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