Friday 16 March 2012

US/UK plan to release emergency oil stocks

Oil falls as US, UK plan oil reserve release
   * UK set to agree to US proposal to tap emergency stocks-UK Sources
   *  Formal request expected soon from Washington - UK sources
   * Timing, size of eventual release undecided
   * White House spokesman denies "agreement" to tap strategic reserves

Reuters,
March 15, 2012

Crude prices fell by $2a barrel on Thursday after Reuters reported that the United States and Britain were preparing a release fromstrategic oil reserves this year.

Two UK sources told Reuters that Britain has agreed to cooperate with the United States in releasing reserves, but volumes and exact timelines have not yet been determined.
 
Britain expects to receive a formal request from U.S. officials "shortly," the UK sources said, and releases would seek to boost supplies by summertime. U.S. White House spokesman

Jay Carney said there has been no agreement made to tap strategic reserves.

Oil prices pared sharp initial losses of more than $3 after the report, with benchmark Brent for May delivery  settling down $1.98 at $122.60 a barrel. Brent for April delivery, which expired on Thursday, fell $1.42 a barrel to $123.55. U.S. crude futures fell 32 cents to $105.11 per
barrel. 

Oil traders said they were waiting for more details on any release from emergency reserves.
 
"It all depends on how much they are going to release," said analyst Chris Dillman at Tradition Energy in Connecticut.
 
Potential releases were discussed at a meeting on Wednesday in Washington between President Barack Obama and Prime Minister David Cameron, Reuters reported early Thursday. 
    
Cameron later told reporters that releasing oil reserves is "worth looking at," but said no decision has been made. 
    
Tapping emergency reserves could help to stem surging fuel prices and gird against any potential supply shortfall from sanctions-struck Iran.
The use of strategic reserves by consumer nations would follow last summer's concerted 60-million-barrel release by the 28-member International Energy Agency (IEA) countries, in a bid
to fill the supply gap caused by Libya's civil war, which slashed exports from the country. 
The Paris-based IEA said last month it saw no reason to resort to SPR releases in the near future. Last year's move was unanimously agreed among IEA members, but countries including Germany and Italy have voiced reluctance to tap reserves again.
 
"We saw an initial sharp drop and collapse but prices seem to have recovered," said analyst Carsten Fritsch at Commerzbank.

"For the moment it's the U.S. and UK alone; no other country seems willing to join so the market wonders if the impact of this will be lasting." 

The Obama administration could be tempted to tap the 727-million-barrel U.S. SPR as retail gasoline prices have surged to their highest level ever for mid-March, near $3.80 a
gallon, drawing consumer ire during a presidential election year.
"We'd both like to see global oil prices at a lower level than they are," Cameron told students and reporters at New York University. 
But SPR use would surely draw criticism from those who feel there is no major supply disruption underway to warrant it. 
"The government is playing retail politics with energy and not solving the underlying problem. It does more damage than good," said John Hoffmeister, former president of Shell Oil,
speaking on CNBC.  
U.S. officials have been weighing policy measures to keep high fuel prices from derailing economic growth. 
The U.S. economy, the world's biggest, is bouncing back from a prolonged slowdown, but surging pump prices could derail the recovery and annoy U.S. motorists, who consume around a third of world gasoline supplies.
    
SUPPORTIVE U.S. ECONOMIC DATA
 
U.S. economic data on Thursday was supportive for oil prices and added to a recent spate of good news about the pace of recovery.

U.S. initial jobless benefits claims fell to a four-year low last week. 

The New York Federal Reserve said its Empire State general business conditions index rose to its highest since June 2010 in February. 

The Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank's business activity index showed manufacturing also continued to grow in the region.
 
Meanwhile ....





On This Day In History.... Gas Prices Have Never Been Higher
Zero Hedge,
14 March, 2012

Presented with little comment except to remind all those newly refreshed consumers that for every penny rise in pump prices, more than $1bn is added to the hoousehold spending bill (assuming driving habits are unaffected - which brings its own set of unintended consequential events). And in the past month alone, gas prices have increased by precisely 30 cents.

For this week of the year, we have never seen higher prices of Gasoline...

and we note that gas prices are rising at almost the same analog rate as last year (and well above average) which offers little hope for the notably higher absolute levels which is all important for our pocket-books...




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