Assad readies assault on Homs

Assad sends tanks towards Homs as Red Cross seeks ceasefire talks

Fears that Assad regime is preparing ground assault on rebel stronghold ahead of referendum

the Guardian, 20 February 2012 17.38 GMT

Syria’s military sent tanks and other reinforcements toward Homs on Monday for a possible offensive to break the opposition's grip of the city as the Red Cross tried to broker a ceasefire to send emergency aid to areas affected by fighting.

The mobilisation around the resistance stronghold in central Syria was an ominous sign that President Bashar al-Assad's regime was preparing a ground assault after weeks of shelling the district of Baba Amr, which the opposition has dubbed "Syria's Misrata" after the Libyan city where rebels fought off a government siege.

Syrian-based activist Mustafa Osso said Assad's military should be ready to face stiff battles as residents planned to fight until "the last person". He said Homs was facing "savage shelling that does not differentiate between military or civilians targets".

"The human loss is going to be huge if they retake Baba Amr," said Rami Abdul-Rahman, who heads the British-based activist group Syrian Observatory for Human Rights. The group said at least eight people were killed by shelling in parts of Homs on Monday.

Amateur videos posted online showed what activists said were shells falling on Baba Amr with black smoke billowing from residential areas. Phone lines and internet connections have been cut to the city, making it difficult to get firsthand accounts from residents.

In Geneva, Carla Haddad, a spokeswoman for the International Committee of the Red Cross, said the group had been in talks with Syrian authorities and opposition groups to negotiate a ceasefire in some of the most violence-torn areas.

"We are discussing several possibilities with all those concerned, and it includes a cessation of fighting in the most affected areas," Haddad said, adding that talks were not aimed at resolving political differences after more than 11 months of fighting. "The idea is to be able to facilitate swift access to people in need."

Clashes between military rebels and Syrian forces are growing more frequent and the defectors have managed to take control of small pieces of territory in the north as well as parts of Homs province, which is Syria's largest, stretching from the border with Lebanon in the west to Iraq and Jordan in the east. The country appears to be moving towards a civil war.

Activists believe Assad may be trying to subdue Homs before a referendum on a new constitution on Sunday, the leaders of the uprising have dismissed the referendum as an attempt at superficial reforms that do nothing to break the regime's hold on power.

"We have called for a boycott of the referendum which cannot be held while parts of Syria are a warzone," said Omar Idilbi, a Beirut-based member of the opposition Syrian National Council.

Assad still counts on support from Iran and other allies, such as Russia, which fears losing its main Arab partner, but he is facing escalating pressure and isolation from western and Arab states.

In Kabul, two senior members of the US senate armed services committee called for international co-operation to help supply rebels with weapons and other aid. However, John McCain and Lindsey Graham, stopped short of endorsing direct US military involvement.

"The United States doesn't have to directly ship weapons to the opposition, but there are a whole lot of things that can be done" through groups such as the Arab League, McCain told reporters on Sunday.

Graham said it was shameful for the US not to have a prominent role in helping the rebel forces.

Breaking Syria's ties to Iran "could be as beneficial to our efforts to contain a nuclear-armed Iran as sanctions", he said. "If the Syrian regime is replaced with another form of government that doesn't tie its future to the Iranians, the world is a better place."

The UN last gave a death toll for the conflict in January, saying 5,400 had been killed in 2011. But hundreds more have been killed since, according to activist groups. The Local Co-ordination Committees says more than 7,300 have been killed since March last year. There is no way to independently verify the numbers, however, as Syria bans almost all foreign journalists and human rights organisations.

The Observatory said troops conducted raids on Monday in the southern village of Harrah, where at least nine people were detained.

In the western Hama province, troops backed by armoured personnel carriers and military buses stormed several villages, conducting raids and arrests. A 32-year-old man was killed by gunfire from a security checkpoint in the area, activists said.

On Sunday, activists said at least 18 people were killed in Syria, including a senior state prosecutor and a judge who were shot dead by gunmen in the north-western province of Idlib.

Russia and China have both firmly said that there will be no regime change brought about by external powers in Syria. Bashar al- Assad is behaving like a man who firmly understands this. The Iranian navy is now moving towards a Mediterranean naval base and no littoral Mediterranean power dares object. Spain, Italy and Greece all depend upon Iranian oil which cannot be replaced. France alone cannot/will not oppose it because to do so would risk war with... Spain, Italy and Greece. Britain, which once treated the Med like a Royal pond, has been gutted militarily. And as we saw here last week, the U.S. has had to send four Aegis destroyers to a port in western Spain to protect... Gibraltar

.

The power shift from west to east is moving into high gear...

--MCR

Iranian ships reach Syria, China warns of civil war

Yahoo,

20 Febraury, 2012

AMMAN/BEIRUT (Reuters) - Russia, China and Iran showed support for Syrian President Bashar al-Assad on Monday, days before an international meeting likely to pile more pressure on him to step down in the face of an increasingly bloody uprising.

Assad met a senior Russian politician in Damascus, who reiterated Moscow's support for his self-styled reform program and spoke out against any foreign intervention in the conflict, Russian and Syrian news agencies reported.

China accused Western countries of stirring up civil war in Syria, and two Iranian warships docked at a Syrian naval base, underscoring rising international tensions over the near year-long crisis.

Government forces pressed on with their crackdown on the anti-Assad uprising, with opposition activists reporting five people killed in renewed shelling of an opposition-held district of Homs, and troops and militiamen blockading Hama. Both cities have been in the forefront of the revolt.