Tuesday 6 September 2011

Further decline in Europe


European stock markets fall heavily on fresh bailout and recession fears

When I heard the NZ business news this mornining the newsreader said business confidence was up on the back of “an improving NZ economy”!
While the rest of the world is collapsing New Zealand is seemingly working a miracle!  Wow!


• London's FTSE 100 index closes down 3.5%
• Markets in Germany, France and Italy lose 5%
• Regional defeat for Merkel heightens debt crisis concerns
• IMF boss Christine Lagarde warns global economy on the brink

Monday 5 September 2011 19.12 BST

Stock markets fell heavily on Monday as fresh concerns about Europe's debt crisis and evidence of a continent-wide drift towards recession prompted investor flight into assets perceived as risk free.

The value of the 100 leading shares on the London market fell by £49bn, extending the two day loss since the publication of poor American jobs figures last Friday to £82bn.

By the close of business in the City, the FTSE 100 index was down 189.45 points at 5102.58, a decline of 3.5%. Markets elsewhere in Europe suffered even bigger falls, with Germany's Dax index of leading shares shedding more than 5%. France and Italy also saw share price falls of around 5%.

Dealers said investors had been unsettled by reports of a rift between Athens and the International Monetary Fund over the terms of Greece's bailout and by a regional election defeat suffered by Angela Merkel's Christian Democrat party at the weekend. With public opinion in Germany strongly against Berlin bankrolling any future eurozone rescue packages, interest rates on both Italian and Spanish bonds rose to their highest level in a month.

For article GO HERE


Gold prices are back where they were a couple of weeks ago






From Mish's Global Economic Analysis - about Germany



Merkel’s credibility shattered


The Telegraph reports Angela Merkel slumps to defeat in home state elections

Exit polls for the vote in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern gave Mrs Merkel's Christian Democrats just 24 per cent of the vote, down from the 28 per cent they garnered in the last vote in 2006. Adding to her woe was the performance of the Free Democrats, her coalition allies, who could be wiped out of the regional assembly, with just 3.6 per cent of the vote. 

If the results stand, the Christian Democrats face the unpleasant possibility of being ousted from their current state coalition with the Social Democrats. Exit polls gave the left-wing party 37.7 per cent, and it could decide to strike an alliance with the Left Party or the Greens instead of maintaining the coalition. 

To lose on her home turf will come as an acute embarrassment to Mrs Merkel. 

She made nine visits to the state of 1.4 million people in the lead up to the election, and the defeat will raise question marks over her credibility and leadership. 

Before the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern vote, the Christian Democrats had already suffered a series of humiliating pummellings in five regional elections this year. In March the party lost control of the prosperous state of Baden-Wurttemberg for the first time in 60 years after the Social Democrats and a resurgent Green Party pushed them into a lowly third place.


Coalition at Risk 

The Financial Times reports Merkel suffers blow in regional election 

Angela Merkel, the German chancellor, suffered a blow on Sunday as the parties underpinning her national government were on course for big losses in a regional vote in the Baltic Sea state of Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania. 

Exit polls published by ARD, the broadcaster, shortly after voting closed suggested that Ms Merkel’s conservative Christian Democrats faced their worst ever result in the state, with the Free Democrats likely to be kicked out of parliament. 

Social Democrats and Greens, the main opposition parties and potential partners in government at national level, gained strongly, although a so-called red-green coalition did not look likely in Mecklenburg. 

Manuela Schwesig, a leading Social Democrat and the state’s social affairs minister, said the vote gave Erwin Sellering, the state premier, “a clear mandate” to continue governing – though she did not say with which partner.

Voters have clearly had enough of Merkel's Eurozone bailout policies. Whether she has the votes to ram through expansion of the EFSF remains to be seen. 

As noted yesterday, Two-Thirds of Germans Oppose Expanding EFSF, Believe Merkel has "Lost Grip" on Euro Crisis

Today voters took it out on her at the polls. Merkel's only concern now is her legacy. 


She does not want a breakup of the Eurozone on her watch. 

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